Friday, February 17, 2012

Why Do Poor People Vote Republican?

Op-Ed Columnist
Moochers Against Welfare
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: February 16, 2012



Modern Republicans are very, very conservative; you might even (if you were Mitt Romney) say, severely conservative. Political scientists who use Congressional votes to measure such things find that the current G.O.P. majority is the most conservative since 1879, which is as far back as their estimates go.

And what these severe conservatives hate, above all, is reliance on government programs. Rick Santorum declares that President Obama is getting America hooked on “the narcotic of dependency.” Mr. Romney warns that government programs “foster passivity and sloth.” Representative Paul Ryan, the chairman of the House Budget Committee, requires that staffers read Ayn Rand’s “Atlas Shrugged,” in which heroic capitalists struggle against the “moochers” trying to steal their totally deserved wealth, a struggle the heroes win by withdrawing their productive effort and giving interminable speeches.

Many readers of The Times were, therefore, surprised to learn, from an excellent article published last weekend, that the regions of America most hooked on Mr. Santorum’s narcotic — the regions in which government programs account for the largest share of personal income — are precisely the regions electing those severe conservatives. Wasn’t Red America supposed to be the land of traditional values, where people don’t eat Thai food and don’t rely on handouts?

The article made its case with maps showing the distribution of dependency, but you get the same story from a more formal comparison. Aaron Carroll of Indiana University tells us that in 2010, residents of the 10 states Gallup ranks as “most conservative” received 21.2 percent of their income in government transfers, while the number for the 10 most liberal states was only 17.1 percent.

Now, there’s no mystery about red-state reliance on government programs. These states are relatively poor, which means both that people have fewer sources of income other than safety-net programs and that more of them qualify for “means-tested” programs such as Medicaid.

By the way, the same logic explains why there has been a jump in dependency since 2008. Contrary to what Mr. Santorum and Mr. Romney suggest, Mr. Obama has not radically expanded the safety net. Rather, the dire state of the economy has reduced incomes and made more people eligible for benefits, especially unemployment benefits. Basically, the safety net is the same, but more people are falling into it.

But why do regions that rely on the safety net elect politicians who want to tear it down? I’ve seen three main explanations.

First, there is Thomas Frank’s thesis in his book “What’s the Matter With Kansas?”: working-class Americans are induced to vote against their own interests by the G.O.P.’s exploitation of social issues. And it’s true that, for example, Americans who regularly attend church are much more likely to vote Republican, at any given level of income, than those who don’t.

Still, as Columbia University’s Andrew Gelman points out, the really striking red-blue voting divide is among the affluent: High-income residents of red states are overwhelmingly Republican; high-income residents of blue states only mildly more Republican than their poorer neighbors. Like Mr. Frank, Mr. Gelman invokes social issues, but in the opposite direction. Affluent voters in the Northeast tend to be social liberals who would benefit from tax cuts but are repelled by things like the G.O.P.’s war on contraception.

Finally, Cornell University’s Suzanne Mettler points out that many beneficiaries of government programs seem confused about their own place in the system. She tells us that 44 percent of Social Security recipients, 43 percent of those receiving unemployment benefits, and 40 percent of those on Medicare say that they “have not used a government program.”

Presumably, then, voters imagine that pledges to slash government spending mean cutting programs for the idle poor, not things they themselves count on. And this is a confusion politicians deliberately encourage. For example, when Mr. Romney responded to the new Obama budget, he condemned Mr. Obama for not taking on entitlement spending — and, in the very next breath, attacked him for cutting Medicare.

The truth, of course, is that the vast bulk of entitlement spending goes to the elderly, the disabled, and working families, so any significant cuts would have to fall largely on people who believe that they don’t use any government program.

The message I take from all this is that pundits who describe America as a fundamentally conservative country are wrong. Yes, voters sent some severe conservatives to Washington. But those voters would be both shocked and angry if such politicians actually imposed their small-government agenda.

5 comments:

Freddy Hudson said...

I always remember you said there would be a revolution if Social Security is abolished. This is an insightful article. Where is the article to which Krugman refers?

Fred Hudson said...

Well, I don't know. He refers to an article in the NY Times but that's all I know.

Anonymous said...

Clearly lacking in factual knowledge effects a person's ability to make correct political choices. I find this fascinating:

Finally, Cornell University’s Suzanne Mettler points out that many beneficiaries of government programs seem confused about their own place in the system. She tells us that 44 percent of Social Security recipients, 43 percent of those receiving unemployment benefits, and 40 percent of those on Medicare say that they “have not used a government program.”

WOW.

Anonymous said...

Conservatives are not against the poor, no matter how they are made out to be so, but there are some major differences in the way conservatives feel about how to move people out of poverty. Conservatives do not believe that handouts are healthy or will provide people a sense of self worth and therefore a sense of pride to succeed. Now I used the word handout on purpose here. Those individuals that fall into dire straights, through no fault of there own, are exactly the type of folks that we provide the safety net for. Conservatives are not evil people that have no heart for the downtrodden, if that were the case than charitable donations would Not be 30% higher in conservative households than liberal ones. The difference is that charity is for helping short term or those that are, keyword here, incapable of helping themselves.

So onto the article. I believe that some people that are poor (maybe a majority I don't know but I hope) are not content with using the social safety net and yearn for the opportunity to take pride, and ownership, over their prosperity. Conservatives expect that these people take the initiative and get out there and do what they need to to get off the government assistance. I know people, and have many in my family, that have done just that. The People that conservatives get frustrated with, are those that take the attitude of "why should I reduce myself to working in some [insert crappy job here] for minimum wage, when I get more than that from the government?" I know people personally that take this attitude. It is a loser mentality that breeds dependency.

Everyone is responsible for themselves. If someone needs help, we will give it, if someone does not require help and are able bodied to work, then they need to take responsibility for their lives. I know there are situations where work might not be available, in those cases the safety net is there. But when I drive around town, look at job boards, and see jobs and help wanted signs, there is no excuse except laziness, for those that can work.

Conservatives are all for charity (see above) but loathe freeloaders. the people that are talked about here, poor that vote conservative, probably agree that they are responsible for their future and are not looking for the indefinite handout, so they vote for the party that celebrates that attitude and does not celebrate the victim or "I am owed" or class warfare mentality that is so pervasive in the democratic par these days.

Anonymous said...

@Anonymous Set 26.
I feel you are missing the point mentioned about the fact that a great deal of these people are on Social Security and Medicare.
Are you suggesting that these people need to "get off government assistance"?